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Soft Opening for ‘Kevin (Probably) Saves the World’ on ABC

CBS Wins Second Tuesday in the Overnights; NBC Poised for Victory in Adults 18-49


Note: Austin is excluded from the following averages.

Household Rating/Share
CBS: 7.2/12, NBC: 5.9/10, ABC: 3.3/ 5, Fox: 2.2/ 4, CW: 0.4/ 1

Note: Comparisons to the year-ago evening are excluded due to the airing of the Vice Presidential Debate.


Ratings Breakdown:
CBS topped this second Tuesday in the household overnights, besting No. 2 NBC by 22 percent. But the home of “The Voice” and “This Is Us” is a lock for dominance in adults 18-49 (and all the key young adult demographics).

There were two series premieres, both on ABC, and both opened at modest overnight levels. Sitcom “The Mayor” scored a third-place 3.0 rating/5 share in households at 9:30 p.m., which held 88 percent of the 3.4/ 5 (#3) for the season premiere of critically-acclaimed lead-in “black-ish.” “The Mayor” also more than doubled the household rating of competing “Brooklyn Nine-Nine” on Fox (#4: 1.3/ 2), and it could fit in well on the alphabet net’s marginally rated Tuesday sitcom block.

The second ABC premiere was drama “Kevin (Probably) Saves the World,” which opened at a third-place 2.9/ 5 at 10 p.m. and trailed competing “NCIS: New Orleans” on CBS (#1: 6.0/11) and “Law & Order True Crime: The Menendez Brothers” on NBC (#2: 3.2/ 6) by 52 percent and 9 percent, respectively. While this is an improvement from year-ago time period occupant “Marvel’s Agents of SHIELD,” the expected erosion in episode two, and beyond, may not bode well for survival for this Jason Ritter vehicle.

“Law & Order True Crime: The Menendez Brothers,” meanwhile, dipped by 26 percent in the household overnights from its already modest week-ago opener (4.3/ 7 on Sept. 26), and it held only 42 percent of its “This Is Us” lead-in (#1: 7.6/12 at 9 p.m.). NBC had a golden opportunity in the Tuesday 10 p.m. ET hour this fall and wasted it, unfortunately.

Top-rated for the evening in the overnights was “NCIS” on CBS (8.7/14 at 8 p.m.), which led into a solid (and second place) 7.0/11 for sophomore “Bull” at 9 p.m.

In the respectable department was the ninth – and final – season premiere of ABC comedy “The Middle” at a third-place 4.2/ 7 at 8 p.m., which led into a 3.0/ 5 (#3) for the fourth season premiere of “Fresh Off the Boat” at 8:30 p.m.

What follows are the household overnight results for Tuesday, October 3 by half-hour:

8:00 p.m.
ABC – “The Middle” (season premiere): 4.2/ 7 (#3)
CBS – “NCIS”: 8.6/14 (#1)
NBC – “America’s Got Talent”: 6.7/11 (#2)
Fox – “Lethal Weapon”: 2.9/ 5 (#4)
CW – “The Flash” (R): 0.6/ 1 (#5)

8:30 p.m.
ABC – “Fresh off the Boat” (season premiere): 3.0/ 5 (#3)
CBS – “NCIS”: 8.8/14 (#1)
NBC – “America’s Got Talent”: 7.3/12 (#2)
Fox – “Lethal Weapon”: 2.9/ 5 (#4)
CW – “The Flash” (R): 0.5/ 1 (#5)

9:00 p.m.
ABC – “black-ish” (season premiere): 3.4/ 5 (#3)
CBS – “Bull”: 7.1/11 (#2)
NBC – “This Is Us”: 7.8/12 (#1)
Fox – “The Mick”: 1.8/ 3 (#4)
CW – “Machinima’s Chasing the Cup: Injustice 2: 0.3/ 0 (#5)

9:30 p.m.
ABC – “The Mayor” (series premiere): 3.0/ 5 (#3)
CBS – “Bull”: 7.0/11 (#2)
NBC – “This Is Us”: 7.4/12 (#1)
Fox – “Brooklyn Nine-Nine”: 1.3/ 2 (#4)
CW – “Machinima’s Chasing the Cup: Injustice 2: 0.2/ 0 (#5)

10:00 p.m.
ABC – “Kevin (Probably) Saves the World”: 3.1/ 5 (#3)
CBS – “NCIS: New Orleans”: 6.1/10 (#1)
ABC – “Law & Order: The Menendez Brothers”: 3.4/ 6 (#2)

10:30 p.m.
ABC – “Kevin (Probably) Saves the World”: 2.8/ 5 (#3)
CBS – “NCIS: New Orleans”: 5.9/11 (#1)
ABC – “Law & Order: The Menendez Brothers”: 3.0/ 6 (#2)

Source: Nielsen Media Research

Written by Marc Berman

Marc Berman

Marc Berman has been writing professionally since 1999 and is the author of the “Mr. Television” for Campaign US ( Most recently, Berman was the creator and Editor-in-Chief of website and newsletter TV Media Insights for Cross MediaWorks. From 1999-2011, he was the Senior Editor for Mediaweek and has also written for The New York Daily News, Variety, The Hollywood Reporter and Emmy Magazine, among others. Berman has also appeared on “Entertainment Tonight,” “Extra,” “Access Hollywood,” “Inside Edition,” “The CBS Evening News,” E!, CNN, CNBC, Fox News and MSNBC.

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    • Funnily enough, I actually like him but only a bit of his work. I did like The Class and I laughed at the gross Another Period.

      • Yeah he’s been great and underrated, he’s unfortunately gotten into projects that don’t last that long but his best was The Class. I liked him on Joan of Arcadia and Kevin (Probably) Saves the World was actually pretty good way better than that overrated shit The Good Doctor.

        • I really liked The Class. I thought it was a shame it was cancelled although it gave a chance for Ferguson to be on Modern Family. I felt The Class and Friends with Better Lives were two sitcoms CBS should have kept.

          • Yeah The Class was unique to me it was BBT before BBT and I think it had a chance to really sit in and grow like How I Met Your Mother did. CBS gave up on it too fast and Friends with Better Lives is an example of another show CBS prematurely gave up on too fast this is why their comedies are dying on them because the bad cancellations are catching up on them. CBS could’ve easily found another How I Met Your Mother with those two shows but squandered them.

            • I agree. Their ratings were nowhere near spectacular but they were not at the level where you knew there would be no growth possibility.

              • I keep hearing about those shows that keep growing, but how many has there been and how many have grown starting from bad levels?

                Can’t think of any. BBT grew, but from OK levels, so did NCIS (which was facing American Idol at its prime and grew thanks to Summer re-runs and then started to erode AI). CSI grew, but again it started from decent levels to become a mega-hit.

                Empire may be the closest thing recently, but again it started from disappointing but not DOA levels (and surprised the heck out of me as I expected the slide to happen way before season 2!).

            • I kind of disagree inasmuch as it’s their picks that have been awful. Hanging on to under-rated shows is what FOX, NBC, and CW do and the results aren’t exactly convincing.

              HIMYM didn’t start low as far as I can recall. It just never grew to really convincing levels but remained almost solid its whole run.

    • Exactly what I’ve been saying about a virtually endless list of actors and actresses that they keep treating as if they were stars…